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State Fire Death Rates and Relative Risk (2022)

The fire problem varies from region to region in the United States. This is often a result of climate, poverty, education, demographics and other causal factors. It includes the number of fire deaths and the fire death rate per capita for each state (and the District of Columbia), as well as the relative risk of dying in a fire based on where the fire death occurred.

Perhaps the most useful way to assess fire fatalities across groups is to determine the relative risk of dying in a fire. Relative risk compares the per capita rate for a particular group (e.g., Pennsylvanians) to the overall per capita rate (i.e., the general population). The result is a measure of how likely a group is to be affected. For the general population of the U.S., the relative risk is set at 1.

In 2022, the relative risk of dying in a fire was highest in Alaska, the District of Columbia and Mississippi. The populaces of the District of Columbia, Alaska and Mississippi were 3.0, 2.8 and 2.2 times more likely to die in a fire than the general population, respectively; however, people living in New Jersey were 60% less likely to die in a fire than the population as a whole. Where relative risk was computed, 25 states and the District of Columbia had a relative risk higher than that of the general population. Indiana had a relative risk comparable to that of the general population. In 22 states, the relative risk was lower than that of the general population.

In 2022:

People living in 25 states and the District of Columbia had a higher risk of dying in a fire than the general population.

People living in Florida, Massachusetts, New Jersey and Utah had the lowest risk of dying in a fire.

Fire deaths, rates and relative risk by state (2022)

Fire deaths, rates and relative risk by state (2022)

State of OccurrenceFire DeathsFire Death Rate (per million population)Relative Risk
Alabama14027.62.1
Alaska2736.82.8
Arizona598.00.6
Arkansas8427.62.1
California2887.40.6
Colorado447.50.6
Connecticut4412.20.9
Delaware**1110.80.8
District of Columbia2740.23.0
Florida1526.80.5
Georgia17916.41.2
Hawaii****
Idaho**178.80.7
Illinois15312.20.9
Indiana8913.01.0
Iowa5115.91.2
Kansas6823.21.7
Kentucky10623.51.8
Louisiana11024.01.8
Maine**1510.80.8
Maryland6310.20.8
Massachusetts466.60.5
Michigan18218.11.4
Minnesota6411.20.8
Mississippi8729.62.2
Missouri11718.91.4
Montana**1210.70.8
Nebraska2914.71.1
Nevada319.80.7
New Hampshire****
New Jersey535.70.4
New Mexico3717.51.3
New York22011.20.8
North Carolina16715.61.2
North Dakota**1620.51.5
Ohio23019.61.5
Oklahoma11227.92.1
Oregon399.20.7
Pennsylvania24819.11.4
Rhode Island**1614.61.1
South Carolina9518.01.3
South Dakota**1516.51.2
Tennessee16523.41.8
Texas35912.00.9
Utah226.50.5
Vermont**1320.11.5
Virginia10812.40.9
Washington9612.30.9
West Virginia4123.11.7
Wisconsin7312.40.9
Wyoming**1118.91.4
United States4,44613.31.0

Notes:

  1. Fire death rates are based on all deaths in which exposure to fire, fire products or explosion was the underlying cause of death or was a contributing factor in the chain of events leading to death. Specifically, International Classification of Disease 10 Codes: F63.1, W39-W40, X00-X09, X75-X76, X96-X97, Y25-Y26, and Y35.1 were extracted for this analysis, resulting in a total of 4,446 fire deaths.
  2. The fire death rates presented here reflect the crude death rates and are not age adjusted. The crude death rate is the total number of fire deaths per state divided by the total population per state and multiplied by 1,000,000. These crude death rates should not be used for comparisons between states due to the significant impact of age in mortality data and different age distributions in different state populations.
  • * States where fire death rates and relative risk were not computed due to very small numbers of fire deaths (fewer than 10 deaths).
  • ** Fire death rates should be used with caution due to small numbers of deaths. Per the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), National Vital Statistics Reports Volume 60, No. 4, “Deaths: Preliminary Data for 2010,” a rate or percentage is based on at least 20 deaths. Rates based on fewer than 20 deaths are considered highly variable.

Sources:

  • NCHS. 2022 Mortality Data File, as compiled from data provided by the 57 vital statistics jurisdictions through the Vital Statistics Cooperative Program.
  • U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division. July 1, 2022, population estimates from the table Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for the United States, Regions, States, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2020, to July 1, 2023 (NST-EST2023-POP). Release date: December 2023.